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12/17/2011 - Melbourne, Australia (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Geoff Ogilvy cruised to an eight- under-par 63 on Saturday and has a two-shot lead at 13-under par heading to the final round of the JBWere Masters.
Ogilvy, the 2006 U.S. Open champion, shot up the leaderboard with an eagle on the first hole and birdies on the next two to fly past second-round leader Ian Poulter.
Poulter held a two-shot lead coming into the third round, but only managed a two-under 69 and sits alone in second at two shots back.
Nathan Green (67) and Ashley Hall (68) are four shots back at nine-under, while five players share fifth at seven-under par, including Greg Chalmers, who is trying for the Australian Triple Crown after capturing the Australian Open and Australian PGA Championship. Chalmers shot a 67 on Saturday.
World No. 1 Luke Donald carded a two-under 69 and trails Ogilvy by eight shots at five-under par.
<< Blackhawks hand Ducks 10th straight road loss
Chicago, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Patrick Sharp and Marian Hossa each recorded a
goal and an assist, as the Blackhawks downed the road-weary Ducks, 4-1.
Anaheim, which started a five-game road trip Friday, has dropped a franchise-
record 10 s
<< Cavs down Pistons to begin preseason
Auburn Hills, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Kyrie Irving, the No. 1 overall pick in
this year's draft, scored a game-high 21 points in his professional debut to
lead the Cavaliers to a 91-87 exhibition win over the Pistons.
Samardo Samuels and
<< Hornets shine in first preseason game without Paul
Memphis, TN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jarrett Jack started at point guard for the
Hornets and scored 24 points, grabbed six rebounds and handed out six assists
to lead New Orleans to a 97-90 win over the Grizzlies in preseason action.
The Hor
<< Panthers snap three-game skid with SO win over Flames
Sunrise, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Stephen Weiss scored the winner in the shootout
as the Florida Panthers took a 3-2 win over the Calgary Flames.
Sean Bergenheim scored twice while Jose Theodore stopped 24 shots for the
Panthers, who snapp
Ducks' Selanne makes return to Winnipeg >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - With his future in the NHL uncertain beyond this season, it
is fortunate for Ducks' forward Teemu Selanne that Anaheim's lone meeting with
the new Jets franchise this year takes place in Winnipeg.
In a game that Selanne sa
Canucks close out road trip on Toronto >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Vancouver Canucks probably couldn't have picked a
better spot to close out their five-game road trip.
The Canucks look to secure their ninth straight victory over the Maple Leafs
this evening as the two clubs clash in
Sabres seek consecutive wins in meeting with Penguins >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Sabres were able to end a six-game slide to the
Penguins in an October meeting that was minus Pittsburgh captain Sidney Crosby
due to post-concussion syndrome.
With the Pens' superstar once again sidelined, Buffalo wil
Kings hope to find offense against Red Wings >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Kings weren't able to break out of their scoring slump
on Thursday, but they still managed to snap a five-game skid. They might not
get as lucky tonight against the high-powered Red Wings.
Los Angeles looks to win its
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Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.
He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.
"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.
He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.
Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.
Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.
Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.
Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.
With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.
Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).
And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)
The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.
While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.
Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.
One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.
Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.
What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.
That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.
MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.
"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.
"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."
So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.
In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.
MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.
The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.
Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.
MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.
To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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